Daily Weather & Tropical Storm Forecasts for Baja, Mexico
Daily Weather Report
September 13, 2024 11:31 am
Strong southeastern to eastern winds this morning are currently approaching the entrance to the Gulf of California and offshore of Cabo San Lucas, where seas are currently 8 to 10 feet and increasing.
The pressure gradient between high pressure west of Baja California and relatively lower pressures in northern Mexico will continue to support moderate to fresh northwest winds and moderate seas north of Punta Eugenia through this morning. Seas of 7 to 8 feet in a northwest swell north of Punta Eugenia will subside this afternoon..
Moderate southerly winds are over the northern Gulf of California along with seas of 3 to 4 feet. Elsewhere across the central Gulf light to gentle winds with seas of 1 to 3 feet prevail north of the 28th parallel, while in the southern portion moderate to fresh southeast to south winds and seas of 4 to 6 feet presently, expected to increase as Ileana moves in.
Tropical Storm Ileana is expected to maintain a north-northwest motion at 8 to 10 kt through this afternoon, and reach the coast of Baja California Sur with 40 to 50mph winds, heavy rain in areas and thunderstorms.
Ileana is then expected to move across portions of Baja Sur this afternoon and evening, then turn more northerly and back over the Gulf on Saturday afternoon and weaken to a remnant low by Sunday before moving inland across northwestern Mexico on Monday.
Numerous showers and thunderstorms will continue to spread northward into the southern Baja and the southern Gulf of California today.
Baja Weather Links
Extended Forecasts:
• Tijuana
• Rosarito Beach
• Tecate
• Ensenada
• San Quintin
• Mexicali
• San Felipe
• San Luis Gonzaga
• Cataviña
• Bahia de L.A.
• Guerrero Negro`
• Bahia Asuncion
• Punta Abreojos
• Mulege
• Loreto
• San Juanico
• Cd Constitucion
• La Paz
• Los Barriles
• Todos Santos
• San Jose del Cabo
• Cabo San Lucas
Tropical Storm Weather Forecast
Windy 10 Day Forecast
GFS Model
ECMWF Model (European)
Atmospheric Pressure Changes
Sea Surface Temperatures (SST's)
Offshore Waters Forecast (E Pacific Offshore of Mexico)
Offshore Waters Forecast National Weather Service National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 257 AM PDT Fri Sep 13 2024 Offshore Waters Forecast for the E Pacific within 250 nm of Mexico Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height. PMZ001-132200- Synopsis for the E Pacific within 250 nm of Mexico 257 AM PDT Fri Sep 13 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Tropical Storm Ileana is near 21.5N 108.9W at 0900 UTC, or about 115 nm southeast of Cabo San Lucas, moving north-northwest at 9 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed remains 40 kt with gusts to 50 kt. Ileana will maintain this motion and reach near 22.8N 109.5W Fri midday with little change in strength, then move across southern Baja California through Fri evening, then back over water reaching near 24.2N 109.9W Fri night, then begin to weaken as it moves to near 25.3N 110.0W late midday Sat, then gradually weaken to a remnant low near 27.1N 110.7W midday Sun before moving inland across northwestern Mexico Mon. Elsewhere, the pressure gradient between high pressure well NW of Baja California and relatively lower pressures in northern Mexico will continue to support moderate to fresh northwest winds and moderate seas north of Punta Eugenia through early Fri. Seas of 8 ft in northwest swell north of Punta Eugenia will subside this afternoon. $$ PMZ009-132200- Mexico Border S to 30N within 60 nm of shore- 257 AM PDT Fri Sep 13 2024 .TODAY...N of 31N, variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming SW to W 10 kt in the afternoon. S of 31N, NW winds 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. Period 10 seconds. .TONIGHT...N of 31N, variable winds less than 5 kt. S of 31N, NW winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 9 seconds. .SAT...Variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. Period 9 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 14 seconds. .SUN...N of 31N, variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming W to NW 10 kt in the afternoon. S of 31N, NW winds 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 14 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Period 14 seconds. .MON...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Period 12 seconds. .MON NIGHT...NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Period 9 seconds. .TUE...NW winds 10 to 15 kt N of 31N, and NW 15 to 20 kt S of 31N. Seas 6 ft. Period 9 seconds. $$ PMZ011-132200- 30N to Punta Eugenia within 250 nm of shore- 257 AM PDT Fri Sep 13 2024 .TODAY...NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. Period 10 seconds. .TONIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Period 10 seconds. .SAT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Period 9 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft. Period 9 seconds. .SUN...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Period 9 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Period 9 seconds. .MON...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Period 9 seconds. .MON NIGHT...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt late. Seas 6 ft. Period 8 seconds. .TUE...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Period 9 seconds. $$ PMZ013-132200- Punta Eugenia to Cabo San Lazaro within 250 nm offshore- 257 AM PDT Fri Sep 13 2024 .TODAY...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Period 10 seconds. .TONIGHT...NW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming NW to N 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 7 ft. Period 10 seconds. .SAT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Period 10 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Period 9 seconds. .SUN...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Period 10 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 9 seconds. .MON...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 9 seconds. .MON NIGHT...NW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming NW to N 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 5 ft. Period 9 seconds. .TUE...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. Period 9 seconds. $$ PMZ014-132200- Cabo San Lazaro to Cabo San Lucas within 350 nm offshore N of 20N- 257 AM PDT Fri Sep 13 2024 .TODAY...NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 8 ft. Period 9 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the day. .TONIGHT...NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Period 10 seconds. .SAT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Period 10 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft. Period 9 seconds. .SUN...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 9 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 10 seconds. .MON...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 11 seconds. .MON NIGHT...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 11 seconds. .TUE...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft. Period 10 seconds. $$ PMZ016-132200- From 17N to 20N Between 110W and 115W including the Revillagigedo Islands- 257 AM PDT Fri Sep 13 2024 .TODAY...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. Period 9 seconds. .TONIGHT...Variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming NW to N 10 kt late. Seas 6 ft. Period 9 seconds. .SAT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. Period 10 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. Period 10 seconds. .SUN...N to NE winds 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 10 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 9 seconds. .MON...N winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft. Period 10 seconds. .MON NIGHT...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Period 10 seconds. .TUE...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 10 seconds. $$ PMZ017-132200- Northern Gulf of California- 257 AM PDT Fri Sep 13 2024 .TODAY...SE to S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Period 5 seconds. .TONIGHT...SE to S winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft. Period 7 seconds. .SAT...SE to S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Period 7 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Period 6 seconds. .SUN...S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming SE to S 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Period 7 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...S to SW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Period 6 seconds. .MON...SW winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming S to SW 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. Period 6 seconds. .MON NIGHT...S to SW winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming SW to W 15 to 20 kt late. Seas 5 to 6 ft. Period 6 seconds. .TUE...W to NW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming NW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Period 5 seconds. $$ PMZ019-132200- Central Gulf of California- 257 AM PDT Fri Sep 13 2024 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TODAY...SE to S winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming SE 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 7 ft. Period 6 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the day. .TONIGHT...SE winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt late. Seas 7 to 8 ft. Period 10 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the night. .SAT...E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt, increasing to 25 to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 9 ft. Period 10 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the day. .SAT NIGHT...SE winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Period 9 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the night. .SUN...SW winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 7 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...S to SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 12 seconds. .MON...S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 12 seconds. .MON NIGHT...SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 12 seconds. .TUE...W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 12 seconds. $$ PMZ021-132200- Southern Gulf of California- 257 AM PDT Fri Sep 13 2024 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TODAY...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt, increasing to 35 to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 to 13 ft. Period 10 seconds. Scattered tstms. .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. SE winds 30 to 35 kt. Seas 12 to 14 ft. Period 10 seconds. Scattered tstms. .SAT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. SE to S winds 30 to 35 kt, becoming S to SW 25 to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 to 11 ft. Period 9 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the day. .SAT NIGHT...SW winds 25 to 30 kt, becoming SW to W 20 to 25 kt late. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Period 14 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the night. .SUN...S to SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Period 14 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...SW to W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft in the evening, becoming seas 3 ft or less. Period 13 seconds. .MON...SW to W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 13 seconds. .MON NIGHT...SW to W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt late. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 13 seconds. .TUE...W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Period 13 seconds. $$ PMZ022-132200- N of 20N E of 110W to the Entrance of the Gulf of California- 257 AM PDT Fri Sep 13 2024 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TODAY...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. N of 22N, SE to S winds 35 to 40 kt. S of 22N, S to SW winds 30 to 35 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 to 16 ft N of 22N, and 9 to 10 ft S of 22N. Period 10 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the day. .TONIGHT...N of 22N, S winds 25 to 30 kt, diminishing to 20 to 25 kt late. S of 22N, S to SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 9 ft. Period 9 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the night. .SAT...SW winds 15 to 20 kt N of 22N, and W 10 kt S of 22N. Seas 6 ft. Period 14 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft. Period 14 seconds. .SUN...W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 14 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 13 seconds. .MON...W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 14 seconds. .MON NIGHT...NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 17 seconds. .TUE...NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Period 16 seconds. $$ PMZ024-132200- Colima and Jalisco within 300 nm offshore S of 20N and E of 110W- 257 AM PDT Fri Sep 13 2024 .TODAY...S to SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Period 15 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the day. .TONIGHT...SW to W winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 6 ft. Period 15 seconds. .SAT...Variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming NW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. Period 14 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft. Period 12 seconds. .SUN...N winds 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 10 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 13 seconds. .MON...N winds 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 12 seconds. .MON NIGHT...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 16 seconds. .TUE...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 16 seconds. $$ PMZ025-132200- Michoacan and Guerrero within 250 nm offshore- 257 AM PDT Fri Sep 13 2024 .TODAY...SW to W winds 10 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft. Period 15 seconds. .TONIGHT...W to NW winds 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. Period 15 seconds. .SAT...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 14 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...NW to N winds 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 14 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the night. .SUN...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 13 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 13 seconds. .MON...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 17 seconds. .MON NIGHT...W to NW winds 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 17 seconds. .TUE...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 16 seconds. $$ PMZ026-132200- Oaxaca W of Puerto Angel within 250 nm offshore- 257 AM PDT Fri Sep 13 2024 .TODAY...N to NE winds 10 kt in the morning, becoming variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 6 ft. Period 15 seconds. .TONIGHT...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 6 ft. Period 15 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the night. .SAT...E to SE winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft. Period 14 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 13 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the night. .SUN...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 13 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 13 seconds. .MON...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 17 seconds. .MON NIGHT...W to NW winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 17 seconds. .TUE...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 16 seconds. $$ PMZ028-132200- Oaxaca E of Puerto Angel within 300 nm offshore including the Gulf of Tehuantepec- 257 AM PDT Fri Sep 13 2024 .TODAY...NE winds 10 kt, shifting to SE in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. Period 15 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the day. .TONIGHT...SE to S winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 6 ft. Period 15 seconds. .SAT...E to SE winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft. Period 14 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...S winds 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 14 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the night. .SUN...NE to E winds 10 kt, shifting to SE to S in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. Period 13 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...SE winds 10 kt, shifting to N to NE late. Seas 5 ft. Period 13 seconds. .MON...NW to N winds 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 15 seconds. .MON NIGHT...W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 17 seconds. .TUE...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 17 seconds. $$ PMZ029-132200- Offshore Chiapas E of 94W- 257 AM PDT Fri Sep 13 2024 .TODAY...Variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. Period 16 seconds. .TONIGHT...SE winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 6 ft. Period 15 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the night. .SAT...Variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 6 ft. Period 14 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 14 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the night. .SUN...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 14 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 13 seconds. .MON...W to NW winds 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 13 seconds. .MON NIGHT...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 17 seconds. .TUE...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 5 ft. Period 17 seconds. $$ Forecaster Stripling