[BajaGringo]

With the southern regions of the Baja Peninsula drying out and repairing flood damaged roads from Tropical Storm Javier – now downgraded to a remnant depression – it’s no time to let our guard down.

Tropical Depression TWELVE-E has formed and will likely be upgraded to Tropical Storm Kay in a matter of hours and the really troubling part to me is that so early on, the majority of the models seem to be in fairly close agreement to her projected path and wind speeds; at hurricane strength very close along the southern Baja Pacific coastline outside of Todos Santos and even with the cooler SST’s as she is projected to approach the 25th parallel, wind speeds are still expected at tropical storm strength moving along San Juanico, Abreojos and Asuncion.

This system is large and packing a very large water mass, meaning that not only will it likely bring a lot of rain, the much larger mass of water weight carries proportionally increased inertia which will be more resistant to be affected by minor wind shear events as well as course changes.

If you are anywhere south of the 28th parallel and have not gotten out your hurricane prep list this year, now is the time.

Please.

With just a little bad luck, Hurricane Kay could possibly become one of those once in a decade, really bad storms that hit Baja. Please get out your prep lists, replace missing/expired items as well as make a check around your property. Check on the location and status of your local emergency shelters, have a plan for your pets and if you were planning to travel through the area late this week, you might want to consider changing your travel plans.