Baja Weather and Road Conditions
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Baja Daily Weather Forecast: Wednesday August 10, 2022
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Baja Daily Weather Forecast: Wednesday August 10, 2022
Weather Summary for the Baja California Peninsula
Wednesday August 10, 2022Tropical Storm Howard Discussion Number 17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092022
800 AM PDT Wed Aug 10 2022
Howard’s deep convection continues to steadily decrease, both in terms of extent and magnitude (as indicated by warming cloud top temperatures). A blend of subjective Dvorak intensity estimates and the UW-CIMSS SATCON support lowering the analyzed intensity to 50 kt for this advisory. Continued weakening appears inevitable as Howard moves over cooler waters and into a drier and more stable surrounding environment. The ECMWF, GFS and HWRF all indicate that Howard will lose its remaining deep convection by the end of today, and this is reflected in the official forecast which shows the cyclone as post-tropical in 24 h.
Howard has turned west-northwestward, with an initial forward speed of 9 kt. A gradual westward turn is expected over the next day or so as the cyclone is increasingly steered by low-level easterly flow. No changes of note were made to the NHC track forecast, which remains based on the model consensus.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 10/1500Z 23.7N 120.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 11/0000Z 24.1N 121.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 11/1200Z 24.5N 123.1W 30 KT 35 MPH…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 12/0000Z 24.8N 124.6W 25 KT 30 MPH…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 12/1200Z 24.9N 126.0W 25 KT 30 MPH…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 13/0000Z 24.8N 127.5W 20 KT 25 MPH…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 13/1200Z…DISSIPATEDToday’s Weather Forecast
Along the Baja Pacific side today, expect for afternoon temperatures reaching up to 85 degrees around Ensenada, 84 in San Quintin, 86 in Guerrero Negro and up to 87 today around the Todos Santos area.
Down Baja’s gulf coastline this afternoon the high temps should reach up to 96 degrees for San Felipe, 95 in Bahia de Los Angeles, 96 in Mulege, 93 in Loreto and up to 95 this afternoon around La Paz.
The Cabo San Lucas area should see up to a maximum of 89 degrees under partly cloudy skies with a light rain shower possible this afternoon.
For more information and extended forecasts along with live satellite and radar imaging go to:
https://talkbaja.com/baja-mexico-weather/
#BajaWeather #Baja #StormWatch #BajaStorm #BajaStormWatch
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2 Replies
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Hot and muggy conditions on tap for much of the peninsula this afternoon as Howard – now downgraded to a tropical storm and slowly fading west – continues to make his presence felt across broad regions of the peninsula. And following in his path, another low pressure system is forming that is expected to become a tropical depression before the weekend. The early forecast track by the NHC predicts this system will head northwest slightly east of the line taken by Howard and could potentially represent a bigger threat.
Another reminder to get prepped and be ready, just in case – stay tuned!
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Thanks for the daily weather reports as it helps us to stay connected, even when we have to be up here on the north side of the border.
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